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LegalPay launches Zero Interest Credit Line for businesses to settle legal disputes, to disburse Rs 200 cr in 2024

LegalPay, India’s first litigation funder and legal solutions provider, has announced the launch of a zero-interest credit line for enterprises, startups, individual business owners, and freelancers to settle legal disputes while preserving their working capital. LegalPay aims to disburse INR 200 crore in 2024 through its own NBFC Padmalaya Finserve along with other partner NBFCs. Named Quick Settle, this innovative structured financing is designed to streamline the resolution of legal disputes with a flexible 6–12-month repayment plan, enabling parties to resolve conflicts without depleting their working capital. In a move set to transform legal finance in India, Quick Settle aims to facilitate amicable dispute resolution by enabling parties involved in disputes to settle claims without impacting their working capitalthrough a zero-interest credit line offered to the defendants with a flexible 6–12-month repayment cycle. Kundan Shahi, Founder and CEO of LegalPay, said, "Our vision is to bridge the gap between legal disputes and swift resolutions. Quick Settle is not just a financial product. It catalyzes change, fostering a culture of collaboration and resolution. By allowing defendants to manage their working capital efficiently through a zero-interest repayment cycle, we aim to foster a more conducive environment for businesses to thrive. Quick Settle embodies years of litigation funding expertise, adopting a tailored approach because we understand that one size does not fit all. This structured financing option enablesdefendants to settle claims seamlessly, alleviating the stress of legal battles without compromising their working capital." Quick Settle is expected to disrupt innovation in legal finance, specifically tailored to improve the efficiency of the Indian judicial system, which is currently burdened with an overwhelming backlog of 61 lakh cases in the country’s 25 High Courts. By offering defendants manageable repayment options and claimants immediate settlement funds, Quick Settle aims to streamline the judicial process and foster a culture of amicable resolutions. Founded in 2019, LegalPay has funded over 44,000 commercial cases and underwritten a staggering 92,000 cases nationwide. With Quick Settle, LegalPay aims to further disrupt a potential $200Billion market by bringing financial relief to businesses and having a positive social impact by expediting dispute settlements. Quick Settle ensures that the businesses receive their claim amount on day one, thus proving to be a game-changer for companies looking to bolster their financial strength. With QuickSettle, companies can navigate conflicts without lawsuits, preserving valuable business relations with vendors and customers. About LegalPay: LegalPay is a leading name in the Indian litigation funding market, dedicated to providing comprehensive financial solutions to individuals and businesses involved in legal disputes. Currently managing over INR 2800 Crores worth of claims, LegalPay has emerged as a leader in litigation funding, bridging the gap between legal expertise and financial solutions with a focus on innovation, transparency, and client satisfaction.

Judge Prohibits Trump From Raising Issue of Litigation Funding in Carroll Defamation Trial

Whilst it is not uncommon for funded litigation to involve a political aspect, with disputes involving national governments being a regular occurrence, few cases are attracting as much attention as one involving the former President of the United States. A judge’s ruling in a defamation case brought against Donald Trump has highlighted the issue of the potential political bias of organizations who fund lawsuits. Court documents posted on CourtListener reveal that in the case of Carroll v. Trump, Judge Lewis A. Kaplan has denied former President Donald Trump’s request to use ‘any evidence or argument concerning litigation funding in the presence of jury.’ Judge Kaplan’s Memorandum And Order On Plaintiff's In Limine Motion covered a number of evidentiary issues in the defamation case, including E. Jean Carroll’s choice of counsel or use of litigation funding.  Judge Kaplan’s order provided an in-depth explanation as to why the defendant was prohibited from raising evidence around Carroll’s use of third-party funding. Kaplan first explained why the Court refused to allow Trump to make arguments around the source of litigation funding in the other case (Carroll II) brought against him by Carroll over allegations of sexual assault. After allowing limited discovery into the plaintiff’s use of litigation funding, the Court found that regardless of which organization was funding Carroll’s lawsuit, ‘Mr. Trump had more than ample evidence before that jury to the political and personal views of Ms. Carroll.’ Citing the reasoning in the previous case, Judge Kaplan wrote that ‘Mr. Trump’s position on this issue is no stronger now than it was in Carol II’. Kaplan explained that Trump already ‘has an ample basis for challenging her credibility without getting into a collateral and time consuming dispute’ about the existence of any third-party funding, ‘let alone the political views of whoever funded that organization.’ Kaplan concluded by firmly stating that ‘the prejudice inherent in such an exercise would outweigh substantially any probative value.’

Judge Rules in Favour of Burford Capital Over Argentine Asset Seizure

As LFJ reported earlier this week, the ongoing saga of the $16.1 billion award in the Argentina YPF case is continuing to demonstrate the difficult process of judgement enforcement and collection. However, there has now been a positive update for Burford Capital, as the U.S. judge has ruled against Argentina’s request to block the funder seizing assets to secure the award. Reporting by Reuters covers today’s judgement from U.S. District Judge Loretta Preska, who ruled that Argentina had been given a “reasonable period of time” to assign assets as security for the $16.1 billion award. This ruling was in response to Argentina’s filing of a request to delay the start of any asset seizure by Burford Capital, with the funder having intended to begin seizing Argentine assets as soon as this week. Judge Preska stated that the Argentine government had failed to either pledge assets to secure the award or pursue an expedited appeal against the judgement. As Judge Preska’s original deadline (January 10th) for Argentine to pledge assets has now passed, it can be expected that Burford Capital will look to immediately begin the asset seizure process. At the time of publication, neither Burford Capital nor Argentina had provided a comment to Reuters.

Dealbridge.ai Welcomes Adam Frederick as New CEO 

In a post on LinkedIn, Dealbridge.ai announced the appointment of Adam Frederick as the company’s new CEO. The Deal Relationship Management (DRM) platform stated that Frederick would lead its ‘upcoming growth phase, building upon the remarkable strides made by Jon Burlinson, Joshua Masia, and the entire DealBridge.ai team over the past year.’ Frederick brings a ‘a rich background as a seasoned executive and multi-time founder in the SaaS startup realm’ to Dealbridge.ai, having most recently served as the Global President & CEO Americas for Morrow Sodali. Frederick’s career highlights also include founding both Samurai Data Analytics and Oxford Intelligence Partners, in addition to serving six years as managing director of the corporate solutions group for NASDAQ. Learn more about Dealbridge.ai’s work in their LFJ article on ‘Navigating Patent Litigation: The Crucial Role of Generative AI Platforms’.

Insights on Portfolio Funding for Law Firms

The following article was contributed by Peter Petyt, CEO of 4 Rivers Services, a third-party funding advisory and legal project management firm.   Peter is undertaking part-time doctoral research at the University of Westminster in London to explore how law firms can ensure that they are suitable for portfolio funding and how can funders best evaluate which law firms to support. In his thesis, he will be examining the different ethical and regulatory challenges in various jurisdictions and analyzing the characteristics of legal case types which make them suitable or unsuitable for inclusion in a funded portfolio. The research will complement the existing 4 Rivers know-how which has been developed to help law firms and claimants secure third-party funding. Below is a Q&A with Peter on his doctoral research findings: What led you to carry out this research? Third-party funding is becoming increasingly important, so I was particularly keen to create some thought leadership which would demonstrate how law firms can take benefit from portfolio finance and what criteria are necessary. This form of finance could be genuinely transformational for many firms. How do clients benefit from law firms which have this sort of financing behind them? The fees and expenses of running disputes can be substantial, so clients often require the law firm to offer fee arrangements which are success-based. However, law firms are naturally cautious about risking their own time and third-party costs if payment for these depends on an uncertain outcome, and they must ensure that they have adequate operating capital to survive. What is the essence of portfolio funding? Portfolio funding is a form of finance which is provided for, and secured against, a bundle of cases which are cross-collateralised.  The cross-collateralization diversifies and reduces the funder’s risk, enabling the funder to reduce its overall cost of capital, especially when compared to single-case financing. A law firm can use portfolio finance to provide it with working capital whilst the cases are in progress; to pay disbursements of a case (including court and arbitration fees, experts, e-disclosure etc); and potentially to fund other initiatives such as acquisitions, recruitment, marketing, and IT. Unlike bank finance or shareholder equity, portfolio finance is aligned with the successes and failures of cases. It is therefore an attractive non-recourse and non-dilutive source of capital. What are the traditional sources of law firm finance? Often, law firms simply use bank finance and other sources of debt finance which can be expensive and may not be attainable at all to plaintiff law firms. Banks do not accept unrealised contingency fees as collateral for credit, requiring instead more conventional security such as property and personal guarantees from the partners of the firm to counterbalance economic or financial risks or uncertainties.  Are public listings of law firms an alternative? Since 2012, UK law firms have been permitted to list and raise capital on a public stock exchange. A public listing provides cash which can enable a law firm to effectively back its own judgment when taking cases on a contingent or partially contingent basis. However, there has not been a flotation of a law firm on a UK market since 2019 and indeed the market appears to be generally less receptive at present. Additionally, the process of taking a firm to market is not straightforward and, post-listing, partners earn less per year. However, they do have equity ownership of a publicly quoted business which can have substantial capital value over time and can be more easily monetized than a share of a traditional partnership. What about external equity investment in law firms? This is permissible in the UK, as well as in US states Arizona and Utah, so it may well become a trend in the future. However, there must be a concern that if a funder becomes an equity investor in a law firm, it will impact on a law firm’s independence. This important issue was illustrated when Burford purchased a minority 32% stake in PCB Litigation and provided capital to fund a portfolio of litigation cases. Equity participation brings with it a degree of control and influence over operations and strategy, and the question is therefore whether a firm in a highly regulated industry such as legal services should be allowed to take investment from a party which has a direct influence in the financing of its cases. What are “pacts” or “best friends” relationships? These are where the law firm “partners” with a preferred funder which finances the law firm fees and expenses on single cases. One example was the Willkie Farr & Gallagher law firm partnership with Longford Capital in 2021, where a “facility” of US$50 million was made available. There was also Harbour’s venture with Mishcon de Reya, which was publicized as a “strategic partnership”; and a “strategic alliance” between Litigation Capital, DLA Piper and Aldersgate Funding to provide DLA clients access to £150m for funding large-scale litigation and arbitration. The “pact” structure is not a genuine portfolio structure, as the finance provided is for the client’s account, not for the law firm’s account. There is no cross-collateralzsation of claims and therefore the obvious benefits of diversification are lost. There is also no evidence that such pacts offer a better financial deal for a client than if the client were to conduct a competitive process either directly or through an advisor/broker, and indeed the negative impact of a pact/best friend funder declining to fund a case could have a negative impact on that case being attractive to other funders. Furthermore, whilst speed of execution is cited as a benefit of the pact structure, there is no evidence to support this. What portfolio funding deals have been announced in the market? UK litigation law firm, Provenio, has a £50 million fund in partnership with Therium to finance high value business litigation and arbitration claims. Provenio had been launched in 2019 by a team of senior litigation lawyers from DLA Piper to advise exclusively on high-value, national and international commercial disputes. Then, in March 2021, international firm PGMBM announced a £45 million “funding partnership” with North Wall Capital to support the funding of cases related to diesel emissions scandals, breaches of personal data and risks associated with drugs and medical devices, as well as environmental litigation.  This was followed in 2022 by a further investment of £100 million by North Wall, targeted at litigation arising from ESG issues, which is “in the form of a loan secured against the revenues from winning or settling cases brought by PGMBM”. This structure- a cross-collateralized loan which is repaid from the proceeds of cases- is typical of a law firm portfolio funding facility. Harbour provided financing for an acquisition of a division of a law firm in July 2023 in the UK, where Rothley Law acquired the private client team and business book of Shoosmiths; and Harbour was also the financier behind the acquisition of the UK law firm Hawkins Hutton by Bamboo Law in August 2023, as well as providing Slater and Gordon (S&G) with a £33m facility in one of the largest deals publicly announced during that year.  The S & G facility is for expansion into high-value PI work as the UK fixed cost regime reduces profit margins on lower value claims, with the firm focusing instead on severe and life-changing injury cases, including catastrophic loss work, as well as consumer law developments. How does portfolio funding differ from single-case funding? A single dispute carries a risk which is binary, which is why TPF for single cases requires a high rate of return. Portfolio funding, however, is provided for a bundle of cases, so that the funder can offer a non-recourse credit-like solution which creates liquidity and leverages a law firm’s investment of its own time. The bundle can involve a group of specific cases, or it can include existing and future cases, including a large group of low-stakes cases, or a smaller group of high-stakes cases. Sizes of portfolios vary among funders but in general a minimum of three cases and a minimum investment size of $3 million are standard. Other specific uses include helping a new law firm launch, monetizing unpaid WIP, acquiring a new line of business, mergers and acquisitions, and geographic expansion. The funding can be used to increase revenues by opening new business locations and divisions in strategic markets, as well as hiring new individuals or groups of fee earners with client followings. Additionally, the capital might be used for remuneration to existing staff to secure their continued employment. It also seems likely that the funder will offer added value services to law firms to which they are providing portfolio financing, including mock trials, moot courts, and strategic advice. The research is showing that portfolio funding enables the law firm to secure funding more quickly, on pre-arranged terms, and, depending on the structure, the ability to benefit from the overall success of the portfolio. How does 4 Rivers use the know-how which is being created by this research to benefit its law firm clients? This know-how, combined with my own many years of experience in assisting corporations with securing capital from venture capitalists, private equity houses, family offices and banks, is vital in allowing us to advise our law firm clients on how to structure a portfolio so that it is investment ready and to optimise the chances of securing funding. In effect, a unique methodology has been developed.

Insights on Portfolio Funding for Law Firms

By Peter Petyt |
The following article was contributed by Peter Petyt, CEO of 4 Rivers Services, a third-party funding advisory and legal project management firm.   Peter is undertaking part-time doctoral research at the University of Westminster in London to explore how law firms can ensure that they are suitable for portfolio funding and how can funders best evaluate which law firms to support. In his thesis, he will be examining the different ethical and regulatory challenges in various jurisdictions and analyzing the characteristics of legal case types which make them suitable or unsuitable for inclusion in a funded portfolio. The research will complement the existing 4 Rivers know-how which has been developed to help law firms and claimants secure third-party funding. Below is a Q&A with Peter on his doctoral research findings: What led you to carry out this research? Third-party funding is becoming increasingly important, so I was particularly keen to create some thought leadership which would demonstrate how law firms can take benefit from portfolio finance and what criteria are necessary. This form of finance could be genuinely transformational for many firms. How do clients benefit from law firms which have this sort of financing behind them? The fees and expenses of running disputes can be substantial, so clients often require the law firm to offer fee arrangements which are success-based. However, law firms are naturally cautious about risking their own time and third-party costs if payment for these depends on an uncertain outcome, and they must ensure that they have adequate operating capital to survive. What is the essence of portfolio funding? Portfolio funding is a form of finance which is provided for, and secured against, a bundle of cases which are cross-collateralised.  The cross-collateralization diversifies and reduces the funder’s risk, enabling the funder to reduce its overall cost of capital, especially when compared to single-case financing. A law firm can use portfolio finance to provide it with working capital whilst the cases are in progress; to pay disbursements of a case (including court and arbitration fees, experts, e-disclosure etc); and potentially to fund other initiatives such as acquisitions, recruitment, marketing, and IT. Unlike bank finance or shareholder equity, portfolio finance is aligned with the successes and failures of cases. It is therefore an attractive non-recourse and non-dilutive source of capital. What are the traditional sources of law firm finance? Often, law firms simply use bank finance and other sources of debt finance which can be expensive and may not be attainable at all to plaintiff law firms. Banks do not accept unrealised contingency fees as collateral for credit, requiring instead more conventional security such as property and personal guarantees from the partners of the firm to counterbalance economic or financial risks or uncertainties.  Are public listings of law firms an alternative? Since 2012, UK law firms have been permitted to list and raise capital on a public stock exchange. A public listing provides cash which can enable a law firm to effectively back its own judgment when taking cases on a contingent or partially contingent basis. However, there has not been a flotation of a law firm on a UK market since 2019 and indeed the market appears to be generally less receptive at present. Additionally, the process of taking a firm to market is not straightforward and, post-listing, partners earn less per year. However, they do have equity ownership of a publicly quoted business which can have substantial capital value over time and can be more easily monetized than a share of a traditional partnership. What about external equity investment in law firms? This is permissible in the UK, as well as in US states Arizona and Utah, so it may well become a trend in the future. However, there must be a concern that if a funder becomes an equity investor in a law firm, it will impact on a law firm’s independence. This important issue was illustrated when Burford purchased a minority 32% stake in PCB Litigation and provided capital to fund a portfolio of litigation cases. Equity participation brings with it a degree of control and influence over operations and strategy, and the question is therefore whether a firm in a highly regulated industry such as legal services should be allowed to take investment from a party which has a direct influence in the financing of its cases. What are “pacts” or “best friends” relationships? These are where the law firm “partners” with a preferred funder which finances the law firm fees and expenses on single cases. One example was the Willkie Farr & Gallagher law firm partnership with Longford Capital in 2021, where a “facility” of US$50 million was made available. There was also Harbour’s venture with Mishcon de Reya, which was publicized as a “strategic partnership”; and a “strategic alliance” between Litigation Capital, DLA Piper and Aldersgate Funding to provide DLA clients access to £150m for funding large-scale litigation and arbitration. The “pact” structure is not a genuine portfolio structure, as the finance provided is for the client’s account, not for the law firm’s account. There is no cross-collateralzsation of claims and therefore the obvious benefits of diversification are lost. There is also no evidence that such pacts offer a better financial deal for a client than if the client were to conduct a competitive process either directly or through an advisor/broker, and indeed the negative impact of a pact/best friend funder declining to fund a case could have a negative impact on that case being attractive to other funders. Furthermore, whilst speed of execution is cited as a benefit of the pact structure, there is no evidence to support this. What portfolio funding deals have been announced in the market? UK litigation law firm, Provenio, has a £50 million fund in partnership with Therium to finance high value business litigation and arbitration claims. Provenio had been launched in 2019 by a team of senior litigation lawyers from DLA Piper to advise exclusively on high-value, national and international commercial disputes. Then, in March 2021, international firm PGMBM announced a £45 million “funding partnership” with North Wall Capital to support the funding of cases related to diesel emissions scandals, breaches of personal data and risks associated with drugs and medical devices, as well as environmental litigation.  This was followed in 2022 by a further investment of £100 million by North Wall, targeted at litigation arising from ESG issues, which is “in the form of a loan secured against the revenues from winning or settling cases brought by PGMBM”. This structure- a cross-collateralized loan which is repaid from the proceeds of cases- is typical of a law firm portfolio funding facility. Harbour provided financing for an acquisition of a division of a law firm in July 2023 in the UK, where Rothley Law acquired the private client team and business book of Shoosmiths; and Harbour was also the financier behind the acquisition of the UK law firm Hawkins Hutton by Bamboo Law in August 2023, as well as providing Slater and Gordon (S&G) with a £33m facility in one of the largest deals publicly announced during that year.  The S & G facility is for expansion into high-value PI work as the UK fixed cost regime reduces profit margins on lower value claims, with the firm focusing instead on severe and life-changing injury cases, including catastrophic loss work, as well as consumer law developments. How does portfolio funding differ from single-case funding? A single dispute carries a risk which is binary, which is why TPF for single cases requires a high rate of return. Portfolio funding, however, is provided for a bundle of cases, so that the funder can offer a non-recourse credit-like solution which creates liquidity and leverages a law firm’s investment of its own time. The bundle can involve a group of specific cases, or it can include existing and future cases, including a large group of low-stakes cases, or a smaller group of high-stakes cases. Sizes of portfolios vary among funders but in general a minimum of three cases and a minimum investment size of $3 million are standard. Other specific uses include helping a new law firm launch, monetizing unpaid WIP, acquiring a new line of business, mergers and acquisitions, and geographic expansion. The funding can be used to increase revenues by opening new business locations and divisions in strategic markets, as well as hiring new individuals or groups of fee earners with client followings. Additionally, the capital might be used for remuneration to existing staff to secure their continued employment. It also seems likely that the funder will offer added value services to law firms to which they are providing portfolio financing, including mock trials, moot courts, and strategic advice. The research is showing that portfolio funding enables the law firm to secure funding more quickly, on pre-arranged terms, and, depending on the structure, the ability to benefit from the overall success of the portfolio. How does 4 Rivers use the know-how which is being created by this research to benefit its law firm clients? This know-how, combined with my own many years of experience in assisting corporations with securing capital from venture capitalists, private equity houses, family offices and banks, is vital in allowing us to advise our law firm clients on how to structure a portfolio so that it is investment ready and to optimise the chances of securing funding. In effect, a unique methodology has been developed.

Managing Duration Risk in Litigation Finance (Pt. 1 of 2)

The following is the first of a two-part series, contributed by Ed Truant, founder of Slingshot Capital, Executive Summary
  • Duration risk is one of the top risks in litigation finance
  • Duration is impossible to determine, even for litigation experts
  • Risk management tools are available and investors should make themselves aware of the tools and their costs prior to making their first investment
  • Diversification is critical in litigation finance
Slingshot Insights:
  • Duration management begins prior to making an investment by determining which areas of litigation finance have attractive duration risks
  • Avoidance can be more powerful than management when it comes to duration in litigation finance
  • There is likely a correlation between duration risk and binary risk (i.e. the longer a case proceeds, the higher the likelihood of binary risk associated with a judicial/arbitral outcome)
When you are speaking to an institutional investor about litigation, it doesn’t take long until the concept of “duration risk” enters the discussion.  Everyone seems to have a story about that one piece of patent litigation or commercial dispute that went on for over a decade that seems to have marked them for life even though they weren’t in any way involved. Yet, it’s a real risk.  Thankfully, it’s not a real risk for a well-constructed portfolio of different case types in different jurisdictions, which is one of the reasons that prompted me to raise a commercial litigation finance fund-of-funds in 2016 – it will ultimately serve as a very good proxy or index for how the industry performs. The whole concept of duration risk is critically important for investors in legal finance to understand, including ways in which duration risk can be managed in this specialized asset class. Private alternative asset classes, such as litigation finance, always need to deal with duration as part of their fundraising pitch to investors as the investments are inherently illiquid investments.  This means that in order for investors to obtain their liquidity, their needs to be a mechanism to allow for that to happen.  Within most private equity sub-classes (venture capital, growth equity, leveraged buy-out, real estate, etc.) the exit is typically a sale of the business.  An argument is often made that there is always a clearing price for any private company and the path to liquidity is generally through an investment bank or intermediary that canvasses the market to search for the best price for that asset at any given point in time.  However, with litigation finance, the pool of capital providers is relatively small, the complexity is very high and the nascency of the market means that beyond the settlement of the case (either through negotiation or a court/arbitral decision) there are not many options. But that is changing… Duration Risk Let’s start by defining duration risk for purposes of litigation finance investing, as the risk that the time horizon of a given investment is different than that which was originally underwritten without a commensurate increase in economics. Most Litigation Funding Agreements (or “LFA”s) have provisions to deal with duration risk such that the negotiated economics increase as time progresses, but often this ultimately gets capped as the claimant is concerned that the funder can end up with the lion’s share of the settlement amount.  Similarly, the funder does not want to put itself in a position where the claimant is not participating in the economic outcome of the claim, otherwise the claimant is wasting their time and effort (and stress). The two opposing forces work to keep each other “in check”. And while the LFA is typically structured to mitigate this risk, there is the potential that the case simply takes much longer than originally thought and investors want to get their money back to redeploy into another, perhaps slightly more liquid, investment.  And this is where many investors, individual and institutional, who poured into the space since 2015 find themselves today. Now, the duration risk inherent in commercial litigation is not to suggest they will rival Myra Clark Gaines (the longest-running civil lawsuit in the US at 57 years), but the difference between 5 years and 10 years can make a meaningful difference to an investor’s return profile if the economic benefits are not commensurate with the timeline extension.  While many funders quote an average hold period of 30+- months, one needs to be careful of the use of averages in litigation finance.  Many of those averages have been derived from the average length of settled cases only, which inherently ignore the duration of the unsettled cases, which is obviously not reflective of reality. Since there are very few fully realized funds in existence globally, it is difficult to determine an actual industry average for litigation finance but I would confidently say that the average will in fact be greater than the 30-month time period often quoted.  The other thing to consider is that any average should be weighted based on dollars invested to ensure that the early settlements, which by definition would likely have fewer invested dollars, do not contribute disproportionately to the average.  The reality is that funders rely on the relatively early case wins to produce strong IRRs (albeit lower MOICs) in order to offset the IRR drag of those cases that are not successful and that exceed the average duration. If we look at a case where the LFA calls for 3X multiple (200% return on investment) during the 3-year period and a 5X multiple (400% return on investment) thereafter, then the IRRs would look as follows for different durations:
Original InvestmentProceeds ReceivedDurationInternal Rate of Return
100300344%
100500538%
100500822%
1005001020%
The first two data points illustrate that where the cap on the proceeds move in lock-step with timing, it has little effect on IRRs. However, the last three data points illustrate the punitive impact that duration has on internal rates of return. When duration moves from 5 to 10 years for a fixed outcome the internal rate of return decreases by approximately half. In addition to the duration necessary to get to a decision (after the potential for an appeal), you may then get caught up in additional enforcement and collection timelines which could add years and additional investment to the original investment proposition.  A good example of this is the “Petersen” & “Eton Park” claims that Burford invested in involving a claimant that is fighting Argentina & YPF over the privatization of energy assets without due compensation. The Implications of Time on the Value of Litigation  In a prior article written about the value of litigation, I describe how a piece of pre-settlement litigation starts off at the risky end of the spectrum due to a lack of information about the various parties’ positions, it then starts to de-risk as each side goes through discovery (approaching the optimal zone of resolution) and then the it starts to re-risk as each side becomes entrenched in their positions and pushes on to a third party decision.  This then leads to a bifurcation in value because the more the outcome of a case is dependent on the outcome of a disinterested third party (a judge, jury or arbitral panel) the more binary the outcome becomes as displayed in the chart below. This of course begs the question, if the timeline of a lawsuit extends beyond its original timeline, what does this say about the value of the case itself? Is it that the case is seen as a win by both sides and therefore each side ‘digs in’ to ensure the other side loses (hence a more binary outcome), or is this just a reflection of healthy sparring between parties to delay the inevitable and increase the friction costs to force the claimant to drop its case? Sadly, because every case has its idiosyncrasies and different personalities involved, we will never know the answer.  But what we do know is that any case that does get decided by a third party results in a binary outcome and as an investor “binary” doesn’t make for a good night’s sleep. I have written about this issue in an article about secondary investing, and in that article I make the argument that secondaries, if not valued properly, likely have a higher risk profile then the rest of the portfolio in which they reside because they are moving into the re-risk zone which inherently has a higher level of binary risk attached thereto.  I think this is important for investors to understand because it suggests that if you are concerned about duration in a litigation finance investment, it is probably (although not always) in your best interest to get out earlier than later.  Of course, the counter-argument is that the longer the case has elapsed the more you know about its merits and how the other side has conducted itself during the case and so your case may in fact be less risky than when it started. However, in these cases you are going to be asking the secondary investor for a premium to reflect that fact and that means you need to convince them of the merits, the likely duration and any credit/collection risks, which is a difficult task by any measure. We must also not lose sight of the fact that the longer a case proceeds, depending on the size and financial capacity of the defendant, the risk of collection may increase due to the financial condition of the defendant especially those with multiple lawsuits or those whose fortunes (profits and cashflow) are tied to more cyclical industries.  What looked like a good credit risk five years ago when the case commenced may look very different coming out of a recession or a commodity cycle.  Similarly, if the plaintiff is not of sound financial condition, the risk that the plaintiff runs out of money or interest in pursuing the case is also a risk that you are implicitly assuming. Given that the secondary industry is in its infancy and there is very little in terms of empirical results on secondaries, it remains to be seen how secondary portfolios will perform but if I were an investor in the sector I would go in with ‘eyes wide open’ and a deep value mindset.  The reality of most litigation finance is that the economic benefits tend to be somewhat capped, and so whatever premium is paid on a secondary, it means it reduces the overall economics available to the secondary investor. Dissimilar to private equity where a secondary investor can still benefit from growth in the value of the underlying company it acquires, the same does not generally hold for litigation finance investments and in fact the risk is to the downside with most LFAs. In the second article of this two-part series, we will look at the various ways in which investors can manage duration risk, both before they start investing and after they have invested. Slingshot Insights Duration management in litigation finance is almost as critical as manager selection and case selection.  I believe duration management starts prior to making any investments by pairing your investment strategy and its inherent duration expectations with the duration characteristics of your investments.  From there, you should ensure your portfolio is diversified and you should be actively assessing duration and liquidity throughout your hold period.  You should also assess the various tools available to you both on entry and along the hold period to determine your optimum exit point. As always, I welcome your comments and counterpoints to those raised in this article.  Edward Truant is the founder of Slingshot Capital Inc. and an investor in the consumer and commercial litigation finance industry.  Slingshot Capital inc. is involved in the origination and design of unique opportunities in legal finance markets, globally, advising and investing with and alongside institutional investors.

Arbitrator in Malaysia Sulu Heirs Case Found Guilty of Contempt of Court

The dispute between the Malaysian government and the Sulu heirs has been one of the most high profile international arbitration cases in recent times, raising issues around state sovereignty and the role of third-party funders in international arbitration. The new year has brought one of the biggest developments yet in the case, as the arbitrator who issued the preliminary award to the Sulu heirs has been found guilty of contempt of court. Reporting by Bloomberg Law takes an in-depth look at the ongoing aftermath of the arbitration case brought against the Malaysian government by the heirs to the Sulu sultanate, and the subsequent issuance of a multi-billion-dollar award. In a major development, Gonzalo Stampa, the Spanish arbitrator who handed down the preliminary $14.9 billion award to the Sulu claimants has been found guilty of contempt of court and been handed a six-month jail sentence. In addition, the court banned Stampa from acting as an arbitrator for one year ‘for knowingly disobeying rulings and orders from the Madrid High Court of Justice.’ The origins of Stampa’s guilty verdict date back to his issuing of the preliminary award, after which the court of justice in Madrid ‘found that the claimants did not serve the government of Malaysia properly and instructed Stampa to close the proceedings.’ When Stampa ignored these instructions and took the award to be recognized in France, the Malaysian government filed a criminal complaint with the Spanish authorities. Paul Cohen, the attorney for the Sulu heirs, described the verdict as “a disgrace to Spain and a stain on its reputation as a venue for neutral dispute resolution,” whilst Mr Stampa’s own attorney, Sofía Parada Cano-Lasso, argued that “the judgment makes an incorrect interpretation of the arbitration sphere.” The $14.9 billion award that Stampa handed down has already been the subject of appeals by the Malaysian government, with a French court indicating that it would annul the award, whilst attempts by the claimants to enforce the award in the Netherlands and Luxembourg were unsuccessful. Stampa’s guilty verdict raise fresh issues for Therium Capital Management, who reportedly provided $20 million in funding for the Sulu heirs’ case, and now have another obstacle in the way of enforcing and collecting the award. Therium declined Bloomberg Law’s request for comment.  Azalina Othman Said, the Malaysian government minister for law and institutional reform, celebrated the ruling as a “significant victory for the rule of law that will help preserve the sanctity of international arbitration as an alternative form of dispute resolution.” Azalina has long been the most outspoken representative from the government on what they call the ‘Sulu Fraud’, having previously raised the possibility of legal action being brought against Therium.

Argentina Asks Court to Delay Asset Seizure for $16.1 Billion Award

The $16.1 billion award in the Argentina YPF case stands out as one of the biggest events in the litigation finance world in recent memory. However, the process of actually recovering the award is proving predictably difficult, with Argentina continuing to seek court ordered holds on any asset seizure. Reporting by Reuters provides an update on the latest developments in the ongoing efforts by Burford Capital to enforce and collect on the $16.1 billion judgement in the YPF case, whilst Argentine explores every avenue to delay the process. The article details Argentina’s filing this Monday in a New York federal court, asking the judge to delay asset seizure efforts which Burford had planned to begin on Wednesday. In its filing, Argentina argued that, as the judgement was only handed down four months ago and their appeal is still underway, the planned asset seizure was “unnecessary and premature”. The filing also cited the “extraordinary and unique circumstances” of the multi-billion dollar award, with the Argentine government having already stressed the challenge of paying such a large sum. As LFJ recently reported, Argentina's new president, Javier Milei has suggested that the government could create a perpetual bond to cover the cost. The Reuters article highlights that Judge Preska has ‘agreed not to enforce her Sept. 15, 2023, judgement until the earlier of Argentina's failure to pledge assets by Jan. 10 or seek an expedited appeal by Jan. 30.’ However, as recently as last week, Burford Capital reemphasized that it was intent on pursuing collection immediately, stating that Argentina “made clear that it does not intend to post the minimal security required to continue the (stay) pending appeal, much less pay the judgement.”