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How Our Top-5 Articles of 2021 Foretell What’s Coming in 2022

January 6, 2022

How Our Top-5 Articles of 2021 Foretell What’s Coming in 2022

Litigation Finance has enjoyed another year of growth and innovation, as we enter a shocking third year of the COVID pandemic. New funds have arisen, affording more potential claimants an opportunity to experience their day in court. New entrants are emerging in the funding space, innovative investment opportunities are popping up in the form of ILOs on the blockchain, and prominent examples of the benefits of legal funding are arising with increasing frequency. Each of our top-5 most popular articles in the last year illustrate an industry trend we think is worth keeping an eye on. These trends also offer clues as to what we can expect in the coming year. Below are the top-5 articles from 2021:  #5) Litigation Finance and Patent Litigation—Fast Friends 2021 Trend: One thing we’ve learned about third-party litigation funding is that once clients and plaintiffs get a taste of it, they recommend it highly. This leads to explosive growth in specific sectors. In this contributed post, Slingshot Capital founder Ed Truant explains that in 2021, Patent and IP litigation went from a relatively uncommon investment to one that is highly sought out. Some of this can be attributed to the pandemic and the investor rush toward uncorrelated assets. But some of the popularity of IP litigation investment stems from the possibility of awards in the multi-millions. As funders sharpen their due diligence skills and use new tech to predict case outcomes, the likelihood of sourcing meritorious patent cases grows. From the article: “It used to be the case that patent litigation was viewed negatively by the litigation funding community…Then about two years ago, I noticed an increase in the number of patent cases being brought to the attention of funders, and in the number of funders marketing that they are interested in providing financing to patent cases.” What does this mean for 2022? If/when COVID restrictions are lifted and life slowly returns to normal, we’ll likely see similar growth in other sectors. We know that when law firms and clients have a good experience with funders, word gets around. The expectation is that Litigation Finance will improve in recognition and accessibility. As a largely self-regulating industry, third-party legal funding continues to position itself as a public good. We have every reason to believe that will continue in 2022 #4) Litigation Finance Basics 2021 Trend: The popularity of this article, originally published in 2017, reveals interesting things about the business of legal funding. Legal professionals and many types of investors are taking an increased interest in litigation funding. It also underscores that this widespread curiosity about the industry is leading people to investigate it from its humble beginnings to its current role as a public good. From the article: “We don’t all have the same access to the legal system. Those with money have more access than those without. Litigation finance allows claimants without money to have the kind of access to justice that those with money currently enjoy. Obviously, that threatens some, but for the rest of us, litigation finance should be celebrated as a means of achieving equality of opportunity when it comes to preserving our legal rights.” What does this mean for 2022? We predict more of the same, probably on an even grander scale. As regulations become more welcoming to funders, investors are taking greater notice of the practice. Now that regulations are relaxing around non-lawyer ownership of legal firms, the potential for lawyer/funder co-ownership of firms has earned the interest of many prominent investment firms. Jurisdictions around the world are relaxing champerty and maintenance restrictions and creating an environment more welcoming to third-party funding for an array of legal matters. This includes arbitration, patent and IP litigation, and claims enforcement. The popularity of a back-to-basics piece like this one, demonstrates that more people in more industries are curious about what litigation funding can do for them. #3) The Impressive Growth of Commercial Litigation Finance 2021 Trend: Our third entry is another Ed Truant piece illustrating an interest in Litigation Finance from people outside the legal field. In this piece, however, emphasis is placed on the addressable market for litigation funding. This tells us that financial experts are looking toward third-party funding as a future investment. From the article: “I think it is important for all stakeholders to understand the size of an industry, so investors can determine whether it has the scale and growth attributes necessary to justify a long-term approach to investing in the sector.” What does this mean for 2022? We predict that hedge funds and private equity firms will continue to flock to the litigation funding sector. This may happen at an even faster clip, as certain types of litigation rise to prominence in the coming year. Breach of contract, insurance litigation, and issues of employer responsibility as related to COVID precautions are expected to flood court dockets in 2022. This amid an effort to catch up on the backlog of cases caused by court delays and closures.  More litigation means more opportunity for investors to avail themselves of the benefits of TPLF as an uncorrelated asset. #2) Investor Caveats in the Commercial LitFin Asset Class 2021 Trend: As an increasing number of investors seek out litigation funding, the pitfalls associated with this type of investment aren’t as well known. Ed Truant of Slingshot Capital, shows up again on our list, as he explains how investors can better understand this asset class. Matters of tail risk, gross vs net returns, portfolio valuation, and deployment risks are all areas investors will want to be familiar with. After all, just because an asset is uncorrelated, does not mean it is free from risk. From the article: “The asset class presents a unique opportunity to add an asset that has true non-correlation, along with inherent ESG attributes. This makes litigation finance a very attractive asset class. However, an investor needs to do their homework prior to executing an investment.”  What does this mean for 2022? The emphasis on ESG investing bodes well for the future. Litigation Finance’s commitment to investing in environmental, social justice, and governance litigation shines a light on the fact that LitFin investments can be simultaneously lucrative, and a net gain for society. #1) Bank Cartel Claims Europe Announces $12 Million Funding Round 2021 Trend: The popularity of this article is an affirmation of the growth and expansion of Litigation Finance in the EU market. The piece details three antitrust cases in which the fund will deploy cash. The banks are accused of engaging in cartel behavior—one of the most serious types of antitrust charges. This type of piece serves to illustrate how litigation funding helps fight corruption and works toward the public good. It also shows us that fundraising capital is out there for experienced funders with proven track records. From the article: “In these three cases, for example, the pension and hedge funds that lost millions of dollars…can effectively claim their damages through actions before a national court. …in most cases, the remaining question to be decided is the amount of damages. This makes antitrust litigation very attractive for investors.” What does this mean for 2022? We think this means even greater global expansion for Litigation Finance. While funding still has its naysayers, the global mood toward third-party legal funding is largely positive. As the practice casts a progressively wider net—most of those who have used litigation funding to pursue their litigation report being satisfied with the results. Legal funding is already growing in India, Singapore, Germany, South Africa, and China. There’s no reason to think expansion of the industry will not continue in 2022.

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Commercial

Invenio Partner Warns Automation Bias Is the Real AI Risk in Funding Underwriting

An Invenio LLP partner has published a detailed argument that the principal danger of artificial intelligence in litigation finance underwriting is not fabricated citations but the quiet erosion of the human judgment that underwriting depends on.

According to Real Talk About AI in Litigation Finance Underwriting, written by Brenna Legaard, large language models perform reliably on well-defined, data-rich tasks such as analyzing prior art and preparing claim charts, and they work without fatigue or anchoring bias. What they cannot do is predict case outcomes, because the training data does not contain them. Models learn from published opinions, while the vast majority of disputes end in confidential settlements that are never mapped. Legaard writes that models "have known knowns, perhaps known unknowns, and no unknown unknowns whatsoever."

The piece cites a 2024 study finding hallucination rates between 58% and 88% on factual legal questions, with the weakest performance on less prominent cases, and notes that model accuracy degrades as input length grows. Its sharper concern is automation bias: decision-makers deferring to polished output under time pressure, so that "the model's confident framing then becomes an unwary underwriter's confident framing."

Legaard draws a parallel to McKinsey research on insurance underwriting, where firms that mandated black-box models over human judgment found that staff lost faith in the models and underwriting skills atrophied. The recommended response is cultural rather than technical: open discussion of where AI use introduces confirmation bias, and hiring underwriters who interrogate outputs rather than merely producing them faster.

Commercial

Indemnity Costs Order Turns Prince Harry Claimants’ ATE Shortfall Into a Live Liability

The seven celebrity claimants in the failed privacy action against the Daily Mail have been ordered to pay costs on the indemnity basis and to make a payment on account of £9.54m by 28 August, crystallising a gap between their after-the-event insurance cover and the publisher's claimed costs.

As reported by the Law Society Gazette, Mr Justice Nicklin found that the case went "well outside the norm" and that its "conduct was unreasonable to a high degree." The judge described the action as "litigation conceived and pleaded on an unjustifiably wide canvas," which was "speculative at origin and depended substantially on inference," with serious allegations maintained over a prolonged period on an inadequate evidential foundation.

The claims of unlawful information-gathering, brought by claimants including the Duke of Sussex, Baroness Lawrence and Sir Elton John, were dismissed last month following an 11-week trial. Associated Newspapers had exceeded its approved budget by more than £18.6m, with total costs amounting to what claimant lawyers called an "eye-watering" £34,481,622.54. The claimants hold legal expenses insurance covering £16.2m.

Nicklin J declined to impose a cap on recoverable costs, though he described the publisher's costs as "striking." The payment on account was set at £9,544,355, close to the £9,950,624.37 sought by Associated, which represented 65% of incurred pre-budgeted costs and 90% of budgeted costs.

The order converts a previously theoretical insurance shortfall into an immediate obligation, and stands as a reminder of how far ATE limits can fall short of defendants' actual costs in heavily contested, long-running litigation.

Commercial

Rugby Head Injury Claimants Appoint Independent Counsel Over Funder and Law Firm Group Ties

Hundreds of struck-out rugby head injury claims have been granted relief from sanctions in principle after the players switched solicitors, in a ruling that also records the appointment of independent counsel to advise the claimants on their position relative to their new law firm and their litigation funder, which sit in the same corporate group.

As reported by Legal Futures, Senior Master Cook allowed the claims to proceed despite non-compliance with unless orders on disclosure of medical records, taking "comfort" from the change of solicitor. The litigation involves around 1,000 claimants across rugby union and rugby league who allege serious head injuries from collision forces in matchplay and training, and that the governing bodies did not do enough to protect them. Between the two groups, 530 claimants stood struck out.

The players moved from Rylands Garth, described by the judge as "a relatively new firm with one qualified solicitor," to class action specialists KP Law, with Leigh Day assisting. Master Cook said that had the original solicitor continued to conduct the litigation, "I could not have had any confidence that future court orders would be complied with timeously or at all."

A witness statement from former Wales international Alix Popham, on behalf of the union players committee, said the players have appointed James Oldnall, managing partner of Milberg London, as independent counsel to advise them on their position "vis-à-vis KP Law and [litigation funder] Asertis (as Asertis and KP are part of the same corporate group)."

Relief will be subject to conditions to be decided at a further hearing, with minimum terms including payment of the defendants' costs of securing compliance and production of the missing documents.